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Agent-based scenarios

Simulation

Ask a “what if” question, give the agents the platform’s material and watch the actors react round by round, up to a report with scenarios, risks and actions.

3simulations8actors4sources14rounds
How it works · Tips
  1. Seed

    Write the “what if” question and pick the material the agents will know.

    produces: question, sources and horizon

    • Complete question. Include the trigger (“if…”), the horizon (“14 days”) and the effect you want to measure (“prices”). The checker under the question shows what is missing.
    • Fresh material. Prefer sources updated a few hours ago: each one’s age is shown next to its name.
  2. Actors

    Review the detected actors, each one’s stance and who stays out.

    produces: actor graph and agents

    • Agents are simulated. Statements come from agents, not real actors. Use the report as a scenario to think with, not as a forecast.
  3. Simulation

    Follow the rounds live and inject variables along the way.

    produces: feed, indicators and timeline

    • Quick test first. Run on Quick fidelity to validate the question before moving to Deep: cost grows with agents × rounds.
    • Compare variables. Inject an event with God’s eye and use “Redo with another variable”; sensitivity shows what moved the result most.
  4. Report

    Read scenarios with probabilities, risks with evidence, and ask the report.

    produces: scenarios, risks and actions

    • Follow the evidence. Each risk and action cites a round: click it to see what the agents said at that moment.
Start now

Use a ready template, start from scratch or watch a whole simulation run by itself.

Example templates

Each template fills in the question, seed material, horizon and step. Everything can be adjusted later.

Maritime Chokepoints

What happens to energy prices and European foreign policy if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed for 14 days starting tomorrow?

14 days14 rounds4 sources

International Sanctions

What is the impact on energy markets if the EU and the US expand sanctions on Russian oil over the next 30 days?

30 days30 rounds3 sources

Elections

How do currency, stocks and rates react if the opposition candidate wins next Sunday’s election, over the following 7 days?

7 days14 rounds2 sources

Natural Disasters

What happens to supply chains and food prices if a hurricane shuts Gulf of Mexico ports for 21 days?

21 days21 rounds3 sources

More templates

12 templates
Security

Taiwan Strait

What happens to chip trade and freight prices if China blockades the Taiwan Strait for 30 days?

30 days30 rounds
Politics

Coups d’État

How do neighbors and markets react if there is a military coup in a large West African oil exporter, over the following 14 days?

14 days14 rounds
Technology

Power Grid

What is the impact on energy and markets if a cyberattack takes down a European capital’s power grid for 7 days?

7 days14 rounds
Economy

Tariff War

What happens to currency and import prices if the US imposes 25% tariffs on China for the next 60 days?

60 days9 rounds
Climate

Drought and Harvest

What is the impact on food prices if a drought cuts Brazil’s soybean harvest by 20% over 90 days?

90 days13 rounds
Climate

Panama Canal

What happens to freight and grain prices if drought limits Panama Canal transits for 30 days?

30 days30 rounds
Energy

OPEC+ cut

How do oil prices and importers’ fiscal policy react if OPEC+ cuts 2 million barrels a day for 30 days?

30 days30 rounds
Energy

Pipelines

What is the impact on gas prices if a North Sea pipeline is sabotaged and stays down for 21 days?

21 days21 rounds
Economy

Sovereign Default

What happens to the region’s currencies and country risk if a large emerging economy defaults on its external debt in the next 30 days?

30 days30 rounds
Technology

Rare Earths

What is the impact on the tech industry and electronics prices if China bans rare earth exports for 60 days?

60 days9 rounds
Politics

National Protests

How do the government, markets and currency react if nationwide protests shut the country down for 14 days?

14 days28 rounds
Security

Humanitarian Crises

What is the political impact on the EU if a conflict creates 1 million refugees in 45 days?

45 days7 rounds